Tuesday, March 4, 2008

As we close the book on March 4th...

As Obama speaks and I tire, we'll have to see where we are in the morning. For now, Texas is close. Very close. I don't quite understand where his early vote lead went so quickly, to be honest - there's a lot of rural counties in Texas, and she won all the ones in the west and south, and they basically split the east, but they are small. Then again, for every county with 2500 votes that she wins 60-40, that's 500 votes, so that can add up.

As of now, Texas has reported half the precinct, and all the early vote. Obama has big margins in enormous Harris and Dallas counties, and they have reported 14% and 36% respectively. She's winning big in Corpus Christi (co-Pickle founder Luvh Rakhe's home town, incidentally) and medium big in San Antonio, but Corpus is almost all in, and San Antonio is half in. Only 12% of medium-sized El Paso has reported, though, and she's going to murder him there.

So I still think that signs point slightly toward Obama, but she does keep extending that slim lead. It will depend on the punch that Houston and Dallas can deliver.

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