I have a slightly different take on the Palin nomination. I think that it was actually a really good choice for McCain, under the circumstances. The other top choices (Romney, Pawlenty, Ridge) do not have much upside from a Republican perspective, and McCain needs upside because he is losing. Palin is a risk, but she shakes things up and could help McCain in key states. I don’t think she will have much pull with disaffected
I also think Palin’s lack of experience is really not that big of an issue for most voters because McCain’s age is not that big of an issue for most voters. The chances of McCain dying in office are not large. And would the country really fall apart if Palin were in the Oval Office? Probably not. The risk for Republicans is that Biden trounces Palin on foreign policy issues in the debate. Then experience would come into play. But if she holds her own, I think experience is not a deal-breaker and she turns out to be a good pick.
I was feeling pretty confident about a solid Obama victory after the impressive Democratic National Convention. Now I'm feeling like it’ll be a barn burner.